The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) expects the Latvian and Lithuanian economies to grow and the Estonian economy to contract in 2024, LSM reports. The bank lowered its GDP growth forecast for Estonia and Latvia, but raised its forecast for Lithuania. EBRD now expects Estonia’s GDP to decline by 0.8% in 2024, down…
Estonia’s GDP will decline by 0.4% in 2024, before rising by 1.9% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2026, according to the Bank of Estonia’s latest forecast, ERR reports. Annual inflation will reach 3.5% in 2024, rising to 3.9% in 2025 and then falling again to 3.6% in 2025, the central bank projects. Inflation will rise…
Lithuania’s central bank, the Bank of Lithuania, has raised its GDP growth forecast for 2024, BNS reports. The central bank now expects the GDP to grow by 2.2% in 2024, up from its previous forecast of 1.9% in June 2024. The central bank projects that the GDP will rise by 3.1% in 2025 and 3.3%…
Lithuania’s GDP will grow by 2.3% in 2024 and 2.9% in 2025, according to the Finance Ministry’s revised forecast, BNS reports. In June 2024, the ministry projected that the GDP would grow by 2.1% in 2024 and 2.9% in 2025. Average annual inflation will slow down to 1.0% (1.1%) in 2024, before rising to 2.5%…
Lithuania’s GDP growth will amount to 2.4% in 2024 and 2.6% in 2025, according to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) latest forecast, BNS reports. The country’s economic growth will be driven by the growth of real wages, public investments, and low inflation, the IMF report states. Average annual inflation will reach 1.2% in 2024, the…
Slowing inflation and strong wage growth in Estonia have increased people’s purchasing power, according to the Bank of Estonia, BNS reports. In June 2024, the consumer price index rose by only 2.5% on year, which was the slowest rate in three years, primarily due to falling energy prices. At the same time, most services have…
Latvia’s industrial production declined by 4.5% in 2023 compared to 2022, according to the Central Statistical Bureau (CSP), LSM reported. Output in manufacturing decreased by 4.5%, in electricity and gas supply by 0.8%, and in mining by 19% over a year. The drop in manufacturing output was the largest annual decline since 2009. Martins Abolins, economist…
Estonia’s real GDP will continue to decline by 0.3% in 2024 but will increase by 2.8% in 2025, according to Swedbank’s latest macroeconomic forecast, ERR reports. The bank expects the current recession in Estonia to end in the middle of 2024. Moderate growth will return in 2025, driven by stronger domestic demand and exports. Annual…
International rating agency Moody’s has reaffirmed Latvia’s credit rating at A3 with a stable outlook, LSM reported. The agency noted the stability of Latvia’s public finances and general government debt. Moody’s expects the general government deficit to be around 2.9% of GDP in 2024 and to gradually decline to 2.6% in 2025 and to 1.7%…