Estonia’s opposition Estonian Centre Party and Social Democratic Party (SDE) overtook the national-conservative opposition party, Fatherland, in Emor’s latest monthly poll in October 2026, ERR reports. Support for the Centre Party rose to 20.6%, which was up from 16.9% in September 2026. SDE came in second with 20.4% (17.4%), followed by Fatherland with 19.4% (24.1%), which was the party’s lowest level of support in three years. The ruling Estonian Reform Party was fourth with 14.2%, followed by the opposition Conservative People’s Party of Estonia (EKRE) with 13.8% and the non-parliamentary Right-Wingers with 6.5% (9.6%). Support for all other parties was below the 5% electoral threshold. Meanwhile, altogether 27% (30%) of survey respondents did not indicate a preference for any political party.
SDE was the most popular party among voters aged 18-49 years, while the Centre Party led among voters aged 50-64 years and Fatherland among those aged 65 years and older. SDE was the most popular choice among ethnic Estonians with 23.9% support, followed by Fatherland with 23.2%, Reform with 16.6%, EKRE with 15.4%, the Centre Party with 9.5%, and Right-Wingers with 7.9%. Among respondents of other ethnicities (mostly Russians), the Centre Party had 62.9% support, followed by the pro-Russian Together with 8%, EKRE with 7.9%, and SDE with 7.2%. In the Estonian capital, Tallinn, the Centre Party had 31.7% support, followed by SDE with 26.3%, Reform with 14.5%, Fatherland with 10.5%, EKRE with 7%, and Right-Wingers with 4.5%. The Centre Party’s support in Ida-Virumaa county was 46.3%.
Meanwhile, Fatherland continued to lead in Norstat’s latest poll for the Institute of Societal Studies in September-October 2026, ERR reported. Fatherland’s support was 24.0%, followed by the Centre Party with 21.7%, SDE with 16.1%, EKRE with 14.0%, Reform with 12.5%, and Right-Wingers with 6.9%. According to a Turu-Uuringute poll for DELFI, Centre Party chairman Mihhail Kõlvart was the most popular choice for prime minister in October 2026, ERR reported. Altogether 20% of voters would prefer to see Kõlvart and 16% Fatherland leader Urmas Reinsalu as prime minister. Kõlvart’s rise was due mostly to increased support among ethnic Estonians. Kõlvart’s support among Russians stood at 50% and Estonians at 13%, while Reinsalu’s support was 6% among Russians and 18% among Estonians.