Estonia: Fatherland continues to lead in polls in September 2024

Estonia’s main opposition party, conservative Fatherland (Isamaa), remains the country’s most popular political party, according to Norstat’s latest poll for the Institute for Societal Research (YI), ERR reports. Fatherland had 28.3% support among voters in the poll taken over August-September 2024, which was largely unchanged from the previous poll three weeks earlier.

The ruling Estonian Reform Party came in second with 19.6%, which was also almost unchanged. Reform’s coalition partner, the Social Democratic Party (SDE), was third with 14.5%, which was down 3.2 percentage points. Support for the opposition Estonian Centre Party (Keskerakond) stood at 12.2%, which was unchanged. The Conservative People’s Party of Estonia (EKRE) also had 12.2% support, which was down 1 percentage point.

The opposition Right-Wingers (Parempoolsed) has 4.4% support, followed by junior coalition partner Estonia 200 with 4.0%, Estonian Nationalists and Conservatives (ERK) with 1.9%, Estonian Greens (EER) with 1.2%, and pro-Russian KOOS with 1.2%. The three parties in the current coalition government together have 38.1% support, while opposition parties have 52.7% support.

Meanwhile, a Turu-Uuringute poll showed that Fatherland’s support stood at 23% in September 2024, which was down from 25% in August 2024, ERR reported. Reform came in second with 18% (17%), followed by SDE with 16% (17%), Keskerakond with 13% (12%), and EKRE with 12% (11%). Estonia 200’s support was at 6%, which was up from 3%. Support for Parempoolsed was 6%, followed by ERK with 3%, EER with 1%, and KOOS with 1% as well.